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2011.09.22
いますぐできる→世界一シンプルな意思決定のやり方
１．紙の真中に縦の線を一本引く。準備はこれだけ。
２．決定したい事項について、賛成する理由を線の左側に、反対する理由を線の右側に、それぞれ書く＊1。
３．一通り出尽くしたところで、今度は賛成理由と反対理由それぞれについて、重要度（重み）をつけ、釣り合う賛成理由と反対理由を相殺する＊２。
４．相殺し切ったところで、賛成理由と反対理由のどちらに多く残っているかによって、賛成／反対を決定する。
以上。
注）
＊１ 創案者のベンジャミン・フランクリン＊３は、「数日に渡り，折に触れては、賛成の側、反対の側それぞれに、理由を追加していくように」と時間をかけるよう勧めている。
＊２ ある賛成理由と反対理由が同じ重みなら、両者を相殺するものとして消す。ある賛成理由の重みが、二つの反対理由と同じならば、ひとつの賛成理由とふたつの反対理由を相殺するものとして消す、ということ。
＊３ 元ネタはフランクリンが友人プリーストリーからアドバイスを求められた際に返信した以下の手紙から。
London, Sept 19, l772
Dear Sir,
In the affair of so much importance to you, wherein you ask my advice, I cannot, for want of sufficient premises, advise you what to determine, but if you please I will tell you how. When those difficult cases occur, they are difficult, chiefly because while we have them under consideration, all the reasons pro and con are not present to the mind at the same time; but sometimes one set present themselves, and at other times another, the first being out of sight. Hence the various purposes or inclinations that alternatively prevail, and the uncertainty that perplexes us. To get over this, my way is to divide half a sheet of paper by a line into two columns; writing over the one Pro, and over the other Con. Then, during three or four days consideration, I put down under the different heads short hints of the different motives, that at different times occur to me, for or against the measure. When I have thus got them all together in one view, I endeavor to estimate their respective weights; and where I find two, one on each side, that seem equal, I strike them both out. If I find a reason pro equal to some two reasons con, I strike out the three. If I judge some two reasons con, equal to three reasons pro, I strike out the five; and thus proceeding I find at length where the balance lies; and if, after a day or two of further consideration, nothing new that is of importance occurs on either side, I come to a determination accordingly. And, though the weight of the reasons cannot be taken with the precision of algebraic quantities, yet when each is thus considered, separately and comparatively, and the whole lies before me, I think I can judge better, and am less liable to make a rash step, and in fact I have found great advantage from this kind of equation, and what might be called moral or prudential algebra.
Wishing sincerely that you may determine for the best, I am ever, my dear friend, yours most affectionately.
B. Franklin
２．決定したい事項について、賛成する理由を線の左側に、反対する理由を線の右側に、それぞれ書く＊1。
３．一通り出尽くしたところで、今度は賛成理由と反対理由それぞれについて、重要度（重み）をつけ、釣り合う賛成理由と反対理由を相殺する＊２。
４．相殺し切ったところで、賛成理由と反対理由のどちらに多く残っているかによって、賛成／反対を決定する。
以上。
注）
＊１ 創案者のベンジャミン・フランクリン＊３は、「数日に渡り，折に触れては、賛成の側、反対の側それぞれに、理由を追加していくように」と時間をかけるよう勧めている。
＊２ ある賛成理由と反対理由が同じ重みなら、両者を相殺するものとして消す。ある賛成理由の重みが、二つの反対理由と同じならば、ひとつの賛成理由とふたつの反対理由を相殺するものとして消す、ということ。
＊３ 元ネタはフランクリンが友人プリーストリーからアドバイスを求められた際に返信した以下の手紙から。
London, Sept 19, l772
Dear Sir,
In the affair of so much importance to you, wherein you ask my advice, I cannot, for want of sufficient premises, advise you what to determine, but if you please I will tell you how. When those difficult cases occur, they are difficult, chiefly because while we have them under consideration, all the reasons pro and con are not present to the mind at the same time; but sometimes one set present themselves, and at other times another, the first being out of sight. Hence the various purposes or inclinations that alternatively prevail, and the uncertainty that perplexes us. To get over this, my way is to divide half a sheet of paper by a line into two columns; writing over the one Pro, and over the other Con. Then, during three or four days consideration, I put down under the different heads short hints of the different motives, that at different times occur to me, for or against the measure. When I have thus got them all together in one view, I endeavor to estimate their respective weights; and where I find two, one on each side, that seem equal, I strike them both out. If I find a reason pro equal to some two reasons con, I strike out the three. If I judge some two reasons con, equal to three reasons pro, I strike out the five; and thus proceeding I find at length where the balance lies; and if, after a day or two of further consideration, nothing new that is of importance occurs on either side, I come to a determination accordingly. And, though the weight of the reasons cannot be taken with the precision of algebraic quantities, yet when each is thus considered, separately and comparatively, and the whole lies before me, I think I can judge better, and am less liable to make a rash step, and in fact I have found great advantage from this kind of equation, and what might be called moral or prudential algebra.
Wishing sincerely that you may determine for the best, I am ever, my dear friend, yours most affectionately.
B. Franklin
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